基于贝叶斯优化的卷积神经网络的PE-ECC抗拉强度的预测方法
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广东工业大学

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A Prediction Method for the Tensile Strength of PE-ECC Based on Bayesian Optimization of CNN
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    摘要:

    为降低工程胶凝复合材料(Engineered Cementitious Composites, ECC)抗拉强度性能验证所需的实验成本,并克服传统机器学习模型预测精度有限及依赖人工调参的不足,本研究提出了一种基于贝叶斯优化的卷积神经网络[* 通讯作者简介:林嘉祥(1990-),男,副教授。主要研究领域:可持续高性能混凝土材料、FRP增强/加固混凝土新方法新结构和耐久性实验及新方法。E-mail: jxiang.lin@gdut.edu.cn](Bayesian Optimized Convolutional Neural Network, BO-CNN)的预测方法,用于预测聚乙烯纤维增强水泥基复合材料(PolyEthylene fiber-reinforced ECC, PE-ECC)的抗拉强度。首先,该方法通过卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network, CNN)有效挖掘ECC配合比与抗拉强度间的复杂非线性映射关系。其次,利用贝叶斯优化算法在高维超参数空间内自动搜索最优组合,以减少手动调参的时间和人力成本。最后,并引入SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanation)值与部分依赖图(Partial Dependence Plot, PDP)可解释性分析方法,从特征重要性排序与交互效应可视化两个维度,深入剖析了水胶比与纤维参数间的协同增强机制,验证了模型学习材料物理本质的能力。本研究基于从已发表文献中收集的154组PE-ECC抗拉强度实验数据构建数据库,结果表明:BO-CNN模型的决定系数(Coefficient of Determination, R2)为0.911,其预测性能优于网格搜索优化的CNN模型、人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Network, ANN)模型及11种对比的传统机器学习模型。本方法实现了对PE-ECC抗拉强度的准确预测,为ECC配合比优化设计提供有效理论工具。

    Abstract:

    In order to reduce the experimental cost required for the verification of tensile strength properties of Engineered Cementitious Composites (ECC), and overcome the shortcomings of traditional machine learning models with limited prediction accuracy and relying on manual parameter adjustment, In this study, a prediction method based on Bayesian Optimized Convolutional Neural Network (BO-CNN) is proposed. It is used to predict the tensile strength of PolyEthylene fiber-reinforced cement matrix composite (PE-ECC). Firstly, the complex nonlinear mapping relationship between ECC mix ratio and tensile strength is effectively mined by Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Secondly, the Bayesian optimization algorithm is used to automatically search for the optimal combination in the high-dimensional hyperparameter space, so as to reduce the time and labor cost of manual parameter tuning. Finally, interpretability analysis methods, including SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanation) values and Partial Dependence Plots (PDP), are introduced. From the dual dimensions of feature importance ranking and interaction effect visualization, the synergistic enhancement mechanism between the water-to-binder ratio (W/B) and fiber parameters is deeply analyzed, verifying the model's ability to learn the underlying physical nature of the materials. In this study, a database was constructed based on 154 sets of PE-ECC tensile strength experimental data collected from published literature. The results show that: The Coefficient of Determination (R2) of BO-CNN model was 0.911. Its prediction performance is better than grid search optimized CNN model, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and 11 compared traditional machine learning models. This method realizes the accurate prediction of the tensile strength of PE-ECC, and provides an effective theoretical tool for the optimization design of ECC mix ratio.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-03
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-15
  • 录用日期:2025-12-23
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